Winston Salem R16

For sure I need a little warm up, and I find Gulbis excellent to get back to old habits: happy if he wins, and me with him, hell angry if he loses.

M Granollers - E Gulbis: pick Gulbis @2.20 2 units
Last year Gulbis had a tremendous year then had a little sparkle in LA, on US hardcourt.
Here is the same, he started from the qualies, had also a match against Janowicz (lost to him in Wimbledon), then Berlocq and underdog facing Anderson.
Granollers is a herd test, his defensive skills and his weightless hits could easily drive Gulbis mad, but since latvian has won five match in a row it can be said this is "the week" for him.

-2 I haven't watched the match, but I see a sad 1/9 break points won for Ernest.

ATP - 12/07

Since I know me, I know the risk of going in overconfidence being in such a good run so I'll play only one of my ideas for today.

F Verdasco - E Gulbis: pick Gulbis @3.20 1 unit
It's not matter of value, it's just that Gulbis is Gulbis. His Wimbledon weeks ago is the perfect example: he can destroy a top 10 (Berdych there) and then lose against Janowicz.
Verdasco even doesn't worth that trust.

Just to say... my other ideas were: Giannessi (at higher odds maybe, vs Gimeno-Traver), Gil (Dimitrov a bit overrated?), Stebe (vs Chardy... ), Cervenak (@5.8 vs Haas), Pavic (vs Kuznetsov both young talented and Pavic playing home), the underdog in Fognini-Dolgopolov if odds goes higher than 2.20.

-1
Again sad that Cervenak and Stebe would have saved me