Showing posts with label Wawrinka. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wawrinka. Show all posts

Friday, April 19, 2013

Montecarlo - QF - friday

Fognini ousted Berdych, and from a well paid price and I was on him, also let it go covering the red but not equalizing the greens. A pretty profitable one.
I'm not shocked by the other upsets: Murray by Wawrinka and Del Potro by Nieminen (I said Nieminen   was great against Raonic, and I read his defence worked also against the Argentinian).

Like yestarday, I'm going to be here only for the first match, and part of the second if the first is quick enough. Oh, no! Second match is Dimitrov - Nadal, I'd rather skip it.

Anyway I couldn't ask for a better match at 10:30 than Wawrinka - Tsonga.
Wawrinka slight favourite (1.9 to 2.1), as he beated Murray and also because is the better claycourter.
With those premises I would have expected odds to be much shorter on him so it little puzzles me at the moment.
The match could be a dramatic one, though, with momentum swinging from side to side and both suffering of sudden blackouts.
As a proof of this: all their previous meeting went up to the deciding set, Tsonga leads 2-1 and they are 1-1 on clay, both match on clay took place at the French Open.
Strange thing is that they've only met in France (the non-clay match was in Metz, indoor; actually they also record an exhibition match, in Paris, on clay, and Tsonga won in straight) with crowd supporting Tsonga, but thing is going to happen again today and if Stan is the one looking in better shape and confidence, Tsonga will have an entire stadium cheering him, and he loves playing for the crowd.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

ATP Basel picks and WTA Championships Istanbul

WTA Championships Istanbul
Draw
The best 8 players of the season, and 4 double teams as well.
For the single there's a group stage, each player faces the other three, so three matches, top two of the group advance to the semifinal.
For the double there's only a knockout stage, starting from semifinal.
I don't think there will be big surprises for Serena is a step above, then Azarenka follows. Sharapova showed some troubles lately, in particular on her serve. Kvitova did very bad, my thought is that she was getting ready for this event and for the Fed Cup finals. She's a great server and can be unplayable if she's 100%, Kvitova won last year.

Today's matches don't offers much to try. Only Kvitova @1.65 against Radwanska looks tempting.

ATP Basel
I don't know how to handle Valencia's matches, the best thing that comes to me is to lay Tsonga against Malisse.

Things are a bit better in Basel.
Back Soeda @2.74. Bellucci lost awfully the final in Moscow, and I don't think he's going to forget that match easily: leading the first set, losing some intensity in the second set, but managing to serve for the match  on the 5-4, broken, then breaking up again and again broken back. He failed to serve the match out twice.
Soeda is solid from both sides and sholud suffer too much Bellucci's left forehand, the surfaces should be faster than in Moscow and this won't advantage Bellucci.

Back Dimitrov @2.12. Both Dimitrov and Troicki aren't doing well but Troicki seems really awful losing a lot of 1st rounds. If he keeps playing far behind the baseline he won't have much chances to overpower Dimitrov's groundstrokes, and in this case Dimitrov will easily gain the court and playing offensively.

I also like the over 22.5 games in Wawrinka-Davydenko, a matter of stats I'd say, since Wawrinka is playng a lot of three setter recently and also in previus meeting against Davydenko there hasn't been a straight set win