Here's my pick for today:
M Kirilenko - S Cirstea : pick Cirstea @2.5 1 unit
mmm... well I don't know... I like Kiri (who doesn't?) but i don't trust her at all. To me she always looks to be playing on a narrow edge. Good run for Kiri in Wimby but today her opponent is much better than the previus ones.
Good Wimby also for Cirstea who beated Na Li. Usually defating a top 10 makes your odds drop in the following round, seems it's not this time.
A grass win for Cirstea back in 2008 in Den Bosch.
M Youzhny - J Tipsarevic: pick Youzhny @2.68 1 unit
Misha doesn't deserve such a odd, he's crazy and that puts him in the category of player that should be picked when underdog, and avoided when he isn't.
Both players have goods records on grass, but for differents reasons given by their way to play.
Janko needs rhythm, like a little Djokovic, he need to run on the baseline and getting the point passing you from both side. They high speed of grass suits him.
Misha, on the other hand, tries to do whatever is passing in is mind when he's about to hit the ball, and there are no still point in his game. Grass makes it easier when you've got such a variety of strokes.
Not giving rhythm to Janko puts the Serbian at least at your own level.
A Falla - D Istomin: pick Falla @2.92 2 units
Is the same Falla that defated Isner an Mahut? The one that also took Federer to the fifth set in 2010?
I don't understend... Istomin ok he's a big server but he's very slow, he isn't even on the same level of Isner or Mahut on grass.
Other ideas are:
Rus... a nice grasscourter, but also Peng is. At higher odds i'd pick the dutch.
And the high-odded Watson and Giorgi.
Cirstea and Falla lost... I saw a bit of Falla's forth set and both the players were awful.
Soldier Youzhny won.
-1.32 units
Some ideas for tomorrow, maybe a too much american day and I'll better sleep on it: Roddick, Fish and Querrey.
