Showing posts with label Moser. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Moser. Show all posts

Saturday, December 7, 2013

Sat 7/12 - DHs review and today's events

Here's the complete results of my yesterday picks.

Weirather let me down a bit, she got disqualified but her 5th place wouldn't have been enough anyway, although it was a confirmation of her form, 5th isn't that bad.
I can't actually say much about women's race since I haven't watched. I'll just say I didn't expect Fenninger this good on this course, maybe tough condition "helped" her, I mean she's a top performer in adverse conditions.
Hoefl-Riesch did what she was expected to do, Fanchini confirms her good period, my fault I didn't pay attention to her when in the reasoning that took me to pick Goergl for the podium.

Big luck with the boys - Paris finished in front of Franz by just .01s.
Svindal won proving he's the best. Only one training session on a new course (it wasn't the Bird of Prey, but a BoP-Raptor hybrid) it's a bit like racing a super-g, where Svindal excel even more than in downhill. Reichelt in great form, technically speaking he's flawless, Fill scored another good podium for the Ital-jet. 

-------------------------------------------------

Today ladies are re-running the downhill, while boys have a super-g
Here are my picks, I'm fiercely opposing US ladies, yesterda the best of them was Julia Ford from the B-squad, Mancuso was 26th and Cook, Smith, Ross and Vonn all finished outside the top30.
I'll re-pick Goergl vs Stuhec almost at he same odd of yesterday.
I'll give a chance to Spaniard Ruiz-Castillo against Moser, Moser finished .10s ahead yesterday, but I feel like Ruiz-Castillo deserve to be trusted a little where she does good from the training sessions as it happened last year in Meribel for her first career win. Moser is still too erratic.

In mens SG I'll only bet on a double picking two austrian, Reichelt and Mayer, both with a terrific season opening. Jansrud back from an injury as yet to find the better form, while Heel hasn't convinced me so far where the course becomes curvy.
  






Sunday, March 3, 2013

Ladies and gentlemen Super-G - Garmisch and Kvitfjell

Ladies with another Super-G in Garmisch, the true one on the proper slope.

h2h Lindell-Vikarby - Cook - pick Lindell-Vikarby 4 units @1.71 Won +1.84
Bordeline odd but it reflects the reality in the right way: Lindell-Vikarby usually is into a top 20 placement in Super-G while Cook struggles a lot and hardly finds a top 30 placement.

And two picks based on the run for the year's finals in Lenzerheide:
h2h Ruiz-Castillo - Hosp - pick Hosp 2 units @1.90 Won +1.8
Hosp is first excluded but only two points away from qualification.
She's been 5th on friday, while has rested yesterday.
Ruiz-Castillo is 9th postion so she's sure to be qualified.

h2h Moser - Sterz - pick Moser 2 units @1.76 Lost -2
Moser is last placed in the run for the finals, though a very little gap. Sterz is 18th and can be quite sure to be in.
Few number difference in the starting list so little weather variables.
Moser is doing quite well here in Garmisch

Super-g also for the men in Norway, yesterday wind played a big role so I don't feel like gamble that much also today.

Mayer top 3 1 unit @4.60 Lost -1
Mayer is doing a great season and he's improved a lot. In Super-G his worst placement is a 7th place.
With some top racers like Marsaglia and Reichelt that seems to have a little fuel left Mayer might find a spot in the podium

+1.64