Davis Cup and WTA

Perhaps my best day ever of trading yesterday, if not for the gain at least because I liked what I was doing and I had a neat feeling of what was happening in those matches.

Started the day with Kukushkin - Hajek.
Kukushkin had a break point (that remained the only one in the match for Kukushkin) early in the first set, Hajek saved it but odds flipped over and Hajek went at 2.1.
But then Hajek took the lead and was in commanding position in every rally: his price and what was going on didn't match. I backed him.
Hajek won the first set and the second, at this point I removed the liabilities, just in case...
Anything happened and Hajek scored the first point for the Czechs.
I'm happy that I let it run, it's kind of a first for me, usually I green up and go off, this time I stayed there and decided that Hajek wasn't about to choke.

Golubev - Rosol was different.
Rosol is still bearing the title of Nadal-killer although he hasn't done anything so good since then, he opened at 1.6.
Golubev, though, was unbeaten in Davis Cup when playing in Astana.
Golubev's first set was impressive, he was playing terrifically, but great help came from Rosol poor receive (4/24 receiving points won) and unforced errors: many aggressive forehands went long.
Backed Golubev and closed the trade as he won the set.
Second set showed that Golubev made a great effort to win the first set, and he wasn't able to keep it up anymore, this united to the fact that Rosol went up to 3 made me back Rosol.
The set stayed on serve until Golubev went to serve down 5-4, and his tension was palpable. He was broken and Rosol tied it 1-set-all.
Into third set Golubev gave no sign of a recovery, and I let my trade run.
Rosol won the set and went down to 1.1.
Here was my only fault of the day as I sensed the match wasn't done.
I could have greened up, but instead I only took off the liabilities.
Golubev had a pride impulse, and although his game was not as bright as in the first set he fought more and also got a break of advantage.
Here I started to frenzy and felt like I was losing something and rushed trying to "recover the green I'd had, if I...".
Smarter move was laying Golubev at 1.09 serving for the set on the set winner market, again tension caught him, and he was broken. I rarely play something other than the match winner, and I'm very happy with this from me.
Rosol raised at 6-5* and this time I went for equal green on both set and match market.
Rosol won the set, he hasn't been so good though, and he doesn't even shows that sparkle that some players have when playing Davis Cup.

This morning I got into a rerun Vogele - Wozniacki: Woz is still the same (I'd say hopeless), but Vogele is a good player, she hits hard the ball from both side, even though I think she prefers her backhand as sometimes she turns around to hit with it.

Nothing for this afternoon: day of doubles for the Davis Cup, while matches start later in Charleston.

Next week it's going to be an intense one with the red clay season beginning and moving toward Europe for both men, in Casablanca, and the newborn Katowice for the ladies.

 

Somewhere in Europe

It's while I'm not posting.
I've preferred enjoy the final of the Championships.

Back on betting. Many tournament, not of big level, the ones where it's more easy to find some Value in odds, moreover there's a change in the surfaces.
Nevertheless I wasn't much inspired.
Today things got better, let's try:

ATP Bastaad
J Hajek - J Nieminen: pick Hajek @2.23 1 unit
Hajek has had a very good year so far. He won a challenger some weeks ago and was runner up in other two, and also reached many semi-final, all on clay.
Jarkko doesn't play on clay since Roland Garros, where he reached 2nd Round for Andreev retired. Before that nothing special from him on this surface, on which he doesn't play his best tennis.
Hajek should have got used to lefties since Jarkko is the third in a row him.

Atp Stuttgart
D Brown - B Paire: pick Brown +1,5 set @2.03 1 unit / Brown +3,5 games @1,97 2 units
Maybe the two picks are not well played but it doesn't matter.
First: this is a very funny match and I wish to watch it, two of the most entertaining platers here.
Brown is a bit of home player, this will cheers him up. He isn't a clay player while Paire is, though Paire is very crazy, he could lose a set 6-0 or 6-1 (that is what I'm expecting him to do) then overturn everything.

For the moment this is enough.
I like also Begu @2.3 vs Dominguez-Lino and Bachinger @2.8 vs Klizan but both don't convince me too much

Ah... I was very disappointed by Knapp yesterday: many double fault, and trouble on movement. She hits very hard and deep but doesn't find much winners.

+4.20 Sad thing that also Bachinger and Begu won and I didn't played them