US Open draws

Before checking the market, I gave a look at the draw.
And it was stunning.
Starting from ladies top half:
n.1 Azarenka, then going down there are some good players, and all hard hitter: Goerges, Lisicki, Li Na, Clijsters and defending champions Stosur.
Defending the third round should be easy for Vika, but then she'll have to play "every match as a final" as usually journalist language suggest.
In the other quarter n.3 Sharapova won't face really though player up to the quarter-final where projection put Kvitova.
And getting here, I said: "Um though one for Maria... and..." great sospension and I realized: most of the heavyweight are here, so who's in the bottom half?
Bottom half is an highway for Serena (4) to the final.
Seeded player are lightweight, player without great serve or strokes.
Just to mention some seeded players: Kerber (6), Wozniacki (8),  Errani (10), Ivanovic (12).
Semis projection says Serena-Radwanska (2), the lightest of WTA top player.
Obviously market saw it right and Serena can be backed around 2.10 and all the other starting from arond 9 Azarenka.

So not really good odds.
But I found something to back anyway: A.Radwanska @65.
I'm not expecting her to be upset too soon. Jankovic at the third round shouldn't be a great problem, 2-2 the h-2-h, with last two won by Aga, and first two a bit old, when Jankovic was better.
4rt round. Cibulkova or Vinci or maybe Shvedova.
Wide lead in the h-2-h: 4-0 with both Vinci and Cibulkova, 3-1 with Shvedova.
Quarter-final will be though probably against Kerber.
Head to head records are very interesting: Aga leads 3-2 but once Kerber retired (Aga led 6-0 5-3). Last match was a two-set win for Radwanska in Wimbledon. The other are three match on hardcourt, each gone at the third set; 2-1 in Kerber's favour.
Anyway I expect Radwanska to be the dog so have a lay opportunity, before I really lay in case she reaches the semi.