Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Montecarlo - round 2 - wednesday

I didn't post in last few days.
The losing streak hasn't stopped yet, though.

So I've halved my stakes and I'll go on like this until the problem is fixed.

The faults have been always the same: entering market I shouldn't (because aren't profitable, or because it is not the right time, yesterday I was just minutes late to Verdasco's 1st set choke, I backed him in the second but he had a meltdown), or inability to accept a loss and reduce it, or even worse enlarge it.

Anyway, today I'm going to be here the whole day and here's my plan, to have things clear:
of the 10:30 matches I'll watch Berdych v Granollers,  the Czech struggles in early morning (that's what the legend says), his price is already higher than the 1.12 of my early lay.
I don't think Raonic is going to have many problems against Nieminen

Then I'll watch Ramos v Fognini. Fognini's price of 1.9 seems a bit high to me, unfortunately he is crazy and anything can happen there.

Sad Wawrinka v Montanes hasn't the coverage, Stan always plays dramatic matches.

Both Melzer and Almagro are capale of anything above all in terrible ways, Almagro also had a full week in Huston, his price worth a lay to me.

Gulbis - Monaco to close the day. I can't decide what to do pre-match. Gulbis looks in a good period while Monaco in an awful one. Still Gulbis played Isner in the first round: Huston final + transatlantic flight + Isner's worst surface, made it all leat toward Gulbis, it was no surprise to me.

No comments:

Post a Comment