Friday, May 24, 2013

Week 21 - Brussels and Strasbourg - friday

Outright winner: Stephens 1 unit @17 Lost -1
This is the only thing to say about yesterday: Stephens lost to Peng, and I didn't cover that so another point lost.
I wasn't around for other in-play trades yesterday.

I find today's match interesting, although at first I can't say what to expect.
Motivations should be high at this point of the week, so I believe all the contendants will fight hard.

Best price for me is Hampton's one.
I think there's value over 3.0 for the American, she's already pushed Vinci into a three setter on clay in their previous meeting during a Fed up tie.
Hampton can play at higher pace than Vinci, although she's suffer on slices.

I also like odds on Lepchenko.
Even though Kanepi is the best claycourter here, Lepchenko isn't this bad.
Kanepi won their last meeting (the only one between these two), Seoul, hardcourt, in September.
This also was last time Kanepi met a leftie and this could require a little bit to get used to different angles and all...
To little correct myself I'll add that I remembered to be Kanepi more powerful, while after watching her match against Cibulkova I'd say she's lost a bit of that power beside losing weight, and her style a power-with-margin kind of play could leave Lepchenko room to hit weird angles with her forehand, and on that cross Kanepi should have the greater troubles.

Peng is pushing hard from the baseline and this should create some problem to 'dropshot-queen' Oprandi.
I haven't seen Peng this week but I remember she was outplaying Errani in baseline rallies during the doubles final of Rome.
I'm not sure about her service game though, and also how she'll handle dropshots as she looks a bit lost  when forced to play away from the baseline.

Hradecka v Larsson could be either a disaster or a nice drama.
Hradecka was a mess earlier this season and had to play some ITFs to find her shape.
She's more solid and has better serve. Odds are short on her fot me, though.

Pennetta shouldn't have problems facing Doi, although the Italian hasn't played so many back to back matches in a long while.

Bouchard is playing really well, she can cause troubles to Cornet.

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