Thursday, September 6, 2012

Genova Challenger - Day 3 - R16

Some surprising results yesterday as Brown def. [3]Lorenzi with a double 7-6.
In both set Lorenzi was leading 5-2.

Seppi stuggled more than expected to beat young Olivo. 3-6 6-3 6-4 the score.
Looks like a lack of confidence for Seppi: a bad match with many errors above all from his stronger side, the backhand.
Olivo looked a good guy, great push from the baseline with the forehand; a double handed backhand not very incisive but solid enough to bear the rally that he alternates to a one handed slice as recover stroke, with a very natural swing; also nice manuality when playing volleys and dropshots; the second serve was attacked too frequently.

In the evening Robredo won a three set battle over [6]Rosol, 6-7 6-2 6-4, and becomes the major pretender to a spot in the final his road to the semifinal look easy (Fognini was replaced by Trusendi), and projection says he will face a not much confident Bolelli.

Today's I'll go with a couple of picks:
A Seppi - Facundo Arguello: pick Over 20.5 games 2 unit @1.90 -2
A Seppi - Facundo Arguello: pick Arguello 1 unit @4.50 -1
Given the raising shape of Arguello and the oppisite conditions of Seppi ther could be more battle than suggested by the odds.

Also thinking about an over between Gil and Gutierrez-Ferrol but I'll skip for now.

-3

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