Monday, September 3, 2012

USO - Day 8

Again I've to report some picks went unposted because of lack of time to write motivations.
As I usually make picks daily, they are always availables here: http://penko.blogabet.com
This were yesterday' selections:
Laura Robson - Samantha Stosur: pick Robson +1.5 set 3 units @1.88 -3 
Laura Robson - Samantha Stosur: pick Robson 2 units @3.25 -2
Andy Roddick - Fabio Fognini: pick Fognini 2 units @5.5 -2
Andy Roddick - Fabio Fognini: pick Fognini + 3.5 set 4 units @1.88 +3.52
Marion Bartoli - Petra Kvitová: pick Bartoli 2 units @5 +8
David Ferrer - Lleyton Hewitt: pick Hewitt +2.5 sets 4 units @2.15 +4.6
David Ferrer - Lleyton Hewitt: pick Hewitt 2 units @8 -2

+7.12

No clear ideas for today's matches.
Almagro, Klizan and Raonic have low odds on set handicaps and I don't feel like backing them for win.

I'll give more chances to women underdog:
1-1 in the head to head between Kerber and Errani.
I haven't seen them playing recently so I don't know their approach to the match.
Seems like Kerber can hammer hard on Errani's second.
I don't trust the german at all though, she looks to me a very emotional and I won't risk an handicap in her favour.

1-1 head to head also for Pironkova-Ivanovic both many years ago though.
Reading match reports seems Ana is little back to her best period. Forehand works good and also does service. Combining them she can easily hold service game. More troubles when rallies go longer and she shows little trouble in movements and sometimes she prefers to go round the backhand side to hit with her forehand.
This sound like a tips to Pironkova that has a solid backhand and can cause problem on this cross-court.
Bulgarian also use a slice forehand to slower the pace and hitting a weightless or low ball can take Ana to force provoking errors.
Again a game that I can't read clearly. This USO's Ivanovic should holds the line but a combative Pironkova could also cover both games and sets handicap, low odds though, no bet.

Radwanska leads 4-0 the head to head against Vinci.
This soft-hitter suit to Aga, who struggles more against hard hitter.
This is also a test to Aga's shoulder, where she's showing a patch.
Vinci's sliced backhand will force Aga to bend and to hit harder to lift the ball over the net. If the shoulder hurts... we'll see.
Low odd on the set handicap and short line in the games handicap, no bet.

 

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