Thursday, October 11, 2012

ATP Shanghai / WTA Linz picks - thursday

It's becoming very hard for me to find some proper pick in Shanghai.
Also today there are several underdogs that worth a try at a first glance, but then they all don't inspire much faith.
Name and shame:

Haas to beat Tipsarevic. What stops me from backing him, though, it's the physical condition that's too much in favour of the serbian. From the previuos head to head an Over looks good.

Stepanek to beat Isner. 2-1 the head to head for the czech. Step also played a great match against Gasquet. Over looks good here too.

Baghdatis to beat Tsonga. Here's theres a mix of reasons: 1) high odd (around @4 for Bagh), 2) Baghdatis is playing really really well, 3) Tsonga has also played the full previous week (might be tired?).

Querrey to beat Berdych. High odds for Querrey too, but it's the one that is dislike the most.

Verdasco to beat Cilic. Verdasco leads the head to head 5-2, and I think they (bookies, markets etc...) sensed it and odds are lower than I expected. This could have been the pick of the day, shame.

WTA Linz

I haven't seen these two play in this tournament and I lean to pick Begu, odds lowered during the night. But I don't know Bertens very well, she's a rising young talent, defeated Barthel the previous round and has got nice indoor record, though Begu hits hard. Match without TV coverage, so I'll skip.

Surpisingly odds raised for Mattek-Sands. Now it definitely looks a good pick. Mattek did something very impressive against Paszek playing like I think you should play on this kind of surface: great serve, hitting winners (mainly with the forehand) or at least playing offensively putting pressure with hard and deep strokes and net approaches, she's got a great net coverage being a double player. Suarez-Navarro comes from the great run in Beijing, but here's the surfaces is different. I'll pick this: back Mattek.Sands @1.96

Don't know what to say abouth the other matchups.
Martic is crazy enuogh to waste this opportunity, not a great one though since likely she'll face Azarenka next round.
Petkovic might beat Ivanovic and same could do Burdette against Flipkens low confidence though, I'll wait the live.

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