Monday, October 29, 2012

Week 44 Preview - Paris Bercy

Draw

The end is near - the end of the season.
Last Master1000 of the season before the World Tour Finals.
Then everyone can relax, go back home or to some Miami' beach or skydiving from monumental tower or kicking off football matches or... not, here's a nice guide to the offseason, seems a pretty busy one.

Federer decided to not take part of the tournament, after a full week in Basel he opted for break before the Finals. So the seeding loses his n.1.
#3 Murray and #5 Berdych are the ones to benefit the most form this choice.
The czech early won the title far in 2004, and is projected to play the R16 against #12 Gasquet, while the quarter final, now Federer-free, is open to many options: one of #15 Nishikori and Paire, or one of Baghdatis and Simon.
Murray has never won the title, and he's never showed himself indoor so far this season. The draw doesn't look very hard for him. R16 against Cilic (Murray leads 7-1 the h2h), even easier the QF supposedly againt Tipsarevic, though Melzer or Dimitrov and Dolgopolov could be some funny entries.

The other half looks locked by #2 Djokovic and #6 Tsonga.
#4 Ferrer has just won Valencia, and #7 Del Potro has done something even bigger winning back to back Vienna and Basel, he's also to play the Finals next week.
Also seeded here the two bomb-server Isner and Raonic, both very disappointing indoor so far, or disappointing far from America either.

I'm going to back Youzhny @210.
The draw is tough from the start, but opponents have got question marks all over as well.
First round against Granollers who wasn't in good conditions in Valencia, then Ferrer, Youzhny leads 4-3 the head to head, 3-1 indoor, round of 16 against Wawinka, Misha again leads, 3-2, no indoor, but Stan's indoor career record are about 50% winning, not a good one for a top player. Hope to cash out at QF level when Misha will face Tsonga.

Also good prices for Nishikori and Berdych.




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