Monday, October 22, 2012

Week 43

ATP500 Basel
Federer's home tournament, and where he's clearly favored. The swiss leads the seeding.
#2 to Del Potro, who's the most dangerous and has just won the title in Vienna's indoor. Early this year Federer - Del Potro has bee the final of Rotterdam indoor, Federer won 6-1 6-4-
Hard to see someone different from these two in the final, as other seeded player haven't got the heaviness of strokes or particular skills that suit to this surface, even though #3 Gasquet, #5 Seppi and #6 Youzhny have already won an indoor title this season, but the field of the participants were of much lower level.
I can see some early danger for #5 Seppi against Paire, for #7 Mayer against Matosevic, for #8 Troicki against Dimitrov.

ATP500 Valencia
Again a local leads the seeding, here's #1 Ferrer.
I won't make him a big favored though. If the courts aren't too slow, and also given that there are some big server, plus he has been injuired and conditions are unknown.
The biggest dangers are in the other half of the draw: #2 Tsonga, #5 Isner, #8 Raonic.
Ferrer is in the same quarter of #6 Almagro, then #7 Cilic or #4 Monaco for semifinal projection.
The real danger for Ferrer might come at quarterfinal height from Feliciano Lopez or Querrey, these two will face in the first round then there'll be Almagro for the second one.   
Anyway I sense some kind of spanish farce. 
The best thing that comes to mi mind is to lay Tsonga: he's played the final in Stockholm and has showed some problems in keeping the focus for a whole match, then he's got to defend many points in Bercy, he reached the final last year, while there's only a 2nd round here in Valencia.



No comments:

Post a Comment