Wednesday, March 13, 2013

13 March - Downhill(s) - Lenzerheide



The strange results that come out at the end of the season plus today's thick fog not encouraging picks, although there are some tempting odds on head to head.

The slope is almost the same for both gender, only few gates are different.
It's a very technical slope with many turns and close to none slippery section.
Here's a video of the race back in 2011
Back in that day men's podium was: Theaux, Puchner, Svindal.
Ladies' podium was: Mancuso, Gut, Goergl.

As I said yesterday I think the odds on the two favorites, Maze and Svindal, are too low for what they've done in this discipline so far this season.
Here's my winners:

Ladies
Gut to win 1 unit @7
She'll have the biggest suppurt being the star of the swiss team.
2nd place in 2011, but I won't say she's grown since then, still she should be the one that knows better this slope and being so hard it also suit to her aggressive style.

Fenninger to win 1 unit @6
She's in great shape winning last two races, a giant-slalom and a super-g, that prove her technical skills.
She's also the one that better performs in tough condition and with bad visibility.

Men
Paris to win 1 unit @10
Well, Actually I don't know why I've picked him... sensation.
There's the say that many turns aren't for him, but I don't think so, he's Kitz champ and silver medal at the world championships where he made an acrobatic change of direction while flying. He's powerful and mad enough to win everywhere.

Kroell to win 1 unit @9
He must be one of the most disappointed of this season being with no wins.
Still he is 2nd in downhill standing, thank to his constancy of results, and leads a special standing made by ski-database.com, based on total time:

CORRECTED RANKING
NQ, DNF, DSQ, DNS, POS>30 receive time of last pointed plus 0.01

Races completed: 8Total Race Lenght: 24.441m
POSRACERTOTALDIFF
1autKlaus Kroell AUT14'36.530.00
2norAksel-Lund Svindal NOR14'37.85-1.32
3itaDominik Paris ITA14'37.89-1.36
4itaChristof Innerhofer ITA14'39.21-2.68
5autHannes Reichelt AUT14'40.31-3.78
6fraAdrien Theaux FRA14'40.50-3.97
7canErik Guay CAN14'40.97-4.44
8itaWerner Heel ITA14'41.84-5.31
9fraDavid Poisson FRA14'42.95-6.42
10autRomed Baumann AUT14'43.29-6.76
11autGeorg Streitberger AUT14'43.91-7.38
12usaTravis Ganong USA14'44.11-7.58
13canManuel Osborne-Paradis CAN14'44.23-7.70
14canJan Hudec CAN14'44.40-7.87
15autJoachim Puchner AUT14'44.44-7.91
16suiPatrick Kueng SUI14'45.00-8.47
17itaPeter Fill ITA14'45.10-8.57
18canBenjamin Thomsen CAN14'45.14-8.61
19suiDidier Defago SUI14'45.70-9.17
20sloAndrej Sporn SLO14'45.85-9.32

Being the disadvantage being wide enough (58 points) he is much in nothing-to-lose situation.
He is an excellent turn maker.


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Embedded image permalinkThe thick fog won.














Both races were cancelled.
So... Vonn won DH globe by 1 point.
Svindal won DH globe, but Hirscher is closer to the Overall.
Hoefl-Riesch won fair play title.


Riesch won the 2011 Overall on Vonn by just 3 points because of the cancelled Super-G and Giant-Slalom at the finals (also in Lenzerheide).

All bets are refounded

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