Season's finals - Lenzerheide - part 2

Dull start for this final week of the season with races cancelled in both days and the small Globes of Downhill and Super-G went undisputed (?). Undisputed from a sport point of view.
For the media the dispute is wide open for obvious reason since as in 2011 (2011's finals where in Lenzerheide, while in 2012 got moved to Schladming as test for this year's World Cup) Crystal Globes are assigned on Mother Nature's will. Bigger shock back in 2011 when Hoefl-Risch won the Overall Globe by just 3 points on Vonn (afterward might be said it was a great shock for her too, as she's got worse and although the big experience she's having dodgy results, the thing comes clear seing all her DNF in slalom).
Rule book and venues are to be revised.
Close pattern.

To sum up.
Nothing changed in those standings.
Svindal wins Downhill and Super-G globes; racing hardly would have changed things but... But Svindal loses the Overall, and this is very bad for the rest of the week loses his thrill too. Imagine Svindal winning in both DH and SG (he was big favorite so that wasn't far from happening), scoring 200 points... Giant-Slalom and Slalom would have taken a much different look, Hirscher against all odds has never failed a Slalom but so did also Neureuther until last week.

Maze wins the Super-G. Nothing to do for Mancuso, the comeback looked quit impossible though.
But Maze loses the Downhill 1 single point behind the injured Vonn. An hard blow to her flawless season.

What now?...
Today the Team event, the dual slalom, mix teams, nothing to be assigned... yes, a TV and promotional/marketing event.
Then from tomorrow the technical disciplines only ladies' slalom globe to be assigned.

Schedule's order:

Saturday

Men's Giant-Slalom
Run 1 at 9.00 CET - Run 2 at 11.30 CET

1	Ted	Ligety	USA	620
2	Marcel	Hirscher	AUT	495
3	Manfred	Moelgg	ITA	275
4	Alexis	Pinturault	FRA	266
5	Felix	Neureuther	GER	232
6	Aksel Lund	Svindal	NOR	229
7	Thomas	Fanara	FRA	191
8	Marcus	Sandell	FIN	168
9	Fritz	Dopfer	GER	166
10	Davide	Simoncelli	ITA	151
11	Ivica	Kostelic	CRO	140
12	Benjamin	Raich	AUT	127
13	Philipp	Schoerghofer	AUT	126
14	Christoph	Noesig	AUT	125
15	Massimiliano	Blardone	ITA	124
16	Marcel	Mathis	AUT	121
17	Stefan	Luitz	GER	100
18	Steve	Missillier	FRA	100
19	Hannes	Reichelt	AUT	98
20	Kjetil	Jansrud	NOR	95
21	Didier	Defago	SUI	92
22	Cyprien	Richard	FRA	88
23	Leif Kristian	Haugen	NOR	84
24	Florian	Eisath	ITA	73
25	Mathieu	Faivre	FRA	71

Always of the thought odds so low deserve a lay, even when it's Ted Ligety in a Giant-Slalom.

Pinturault is closer to the top 2 than odds suggest.

Ladies' Slalom

Run 1 at 10.00 CET - Run 2 at 12.30 CET

1	Tina	Maze	SLO	595
2	Mikaela	Shiffrin	USA	588
3	Veronika	Zuzulova Velez	SVK	471
4	Frida	Hansdotter	SWE	435
5	Tanja	Poutiainen	FIN	354
6	Maria	Pietilae-Holmner	SWE	308
7	Wendy	Holdener	SUI	289
8	Maria	Riesch Hoefl	GER	279
9	Kathrin	Zettel	AUT	267
10	Michaela	Kirchgasser	AUT	206
11	Lena	Duerr	GER	192
12	Bernadette	Schild	AUT	183
13	Erin	Mielzynski	CAN	177
14	Nicole	Hosp	AUT	175
15	Nathalie	Eklund	SWE	160
16	Therese	Borssen	SWE	150
17	Marie-Michele	Gagnon	CAN	143
18	Irene	Curtoni	ITA	130
19	Christina	Geiger	GER	127
20	Anna	Swenn-Larsson	SWE	127
21	Nina	Loeseth	NOR	115
22	Sarka	Zahrobska	CZE	109
23	Carmen	Thalmann	AUT	102
24	Laurie	Mougel	FRA	87
25	Alexandra	Daum	AUT	82

Maze and Shiffrin for the small Globe.

Odds much fair here, Maze slight fav for winning last Slalom, while Shiffrin showed signs of a crack.

With those big odds Gagnon and Holdener may worth a little shot, although it's hard to understand how much their placements of last stage were due to a real peak shape rather than the strange condition of Ofterschwang.

Sunday

Men's Slalom

Run 1 at 9.00 CET - Run 2 at 11.30 CET

1	Marcel	Hirscher	AUT	880
2	Felix	Neureuther	GER	616
3	Andre	Myhrer	SWE	482
4	Ivica	Kostelic	CRO	475
5	Manfred	Moelgg	ITA	309
6	Fritz	Dopfer	GER	288
7	Jens	Byggmark	SWE	274
8	Mario	Matt	AUT	269
9	Alexis	Pinturault	FRA	264
10	Reinfried	Herbst	AUT	197
11	Mattias	Hargin	SWE	178
12	Manfred	Pranger	AUT	171
13	Stefano	Gross	ITA	170
14	Patrick	Thaler	ITA	160
15	Ted	Ligety	USA	143
16	Giuliano	Razzoli	ITA	138
17	Markus	Larsson	SWE	131
18	Steve	Missillier	FRA	126
19	Benjamin	Raich	AUT	118
20	Naoki	Yuasa	JPN	114
21	David	Chodounsky	USA	105
22	Henrik	Kristoffersen	NOR	98
23	Jean-Baptiste	Grange	FRA	92
24	Markus	Vogel	SUI	82
25	Cristian	Deville	ITA	81

Nothing wrong, Hirscher has won 5 of 9 slaloms this season, but under the even in the discipline where there's the highest probability to go out it's always worth of a lay.
Neurether has been close to Hirscher for the whole season, Matt has found a good shape in this final part, Kostelic won last slalom although he is always given as finished, Pinturault can win everything if he draws the good day.


Ladies' Giant-Slalom
Run 1 at 10.00 CET - Run 2 at 12.30 CET

1	Tina	Maze	SLO	700
2	Anna	Fenninger	AUT	435
3	Kathrin	Zettel	AUT	382
4	Viktoria	Rebensburg	GER	361
5	Tessa	Worley	FRA	303
6	Maria	Riesch Hoefl	GER	213
7	Irene	Curtoni	ITA	193
8	Frida	Hansdotter	SWE	180
9	Jessica	Lindell-Vikarby	SWE	172
10	Dominique	Gisin	SUI	170
11	Julia	Mancuso	USA	154
12	Lara	Gut	SUI	153
13	Michaela	Kirchgasser	AUT	153
14	Eva-Maria	Brem	AUT	152
15	Stefanie	Koehle	AUT	148
16	Elisabeth	Goergl	AUT	124
17	Lindsey C.	Kildow Vonn	USA	114
18	Anemone	Marmottan	FRA	113
19	Mikaela	Shiffrin	USA	110
20	Denise	Karbon	ITA	109
21	Tanja	Poutiainen	FIN	106
22	Ana	Drev	SLO	104
23	Marie-Michele	Gagnon	CAN	104
24	Nadia	Fanchini	ITA	104
25	Taina	Barioz	FRA	89

Maze has widely dominated this disciplines.
However I think her success has been built in that 4 consecutive wins at the beginning of the season.
Remember the change of the skis, with the new radius of turn, and being the best overall, the right, or even perfect, mix of technic and power was the big difference between her and the rest of the field.
She was mastering the new skis, while the other were at the mercy of the skis, and Maze was winning both runs giving the impressions she wasn't even pushing.
As season went on the margin got reduced.
Maze hasn't won last 5 (3rd once, then 4 2nd place in a row).
Odds on Fenninger and Worley are too low for me though, they are the major danger, Rebensburg and Riesch are too much up-and-downs.