Schaldming 2013 - Super-G Ladies

Super-G slope, technical data

Although all those numbers, the slope of the women Super-G is not so hard.
There's been only one race on this slope, last year.
Anyway conditions will be different, considering last year the race was in march and the snow was "rotten", wet, for the warm temperatures.
This time there will be a more hard snow, but, BUT it'll be beneath a coat of soft powder.
So other than last year, this time low starting bib will be disadvantaged in favour of later starter.
All this if low clouds and fog don't mess it up even more.

As I said in previous post Vonn is bookies favourite, but her price to me worth a lay.
She's not convincing me among Super-Gs's turns and there are some strong competitor.
Fenninger is an aggressive racer and she's also racing "at home", in Austria.
Mancuso is one of my favourite in this kind of events because she can often give a little more, she levels up her performances.
Winner: Mancuso 1 unit @12 Lost -1
Winner: Fenninger 1 unit @9 Lost -1

h2h Schmidhofer - Aufdenblatten - pick Aufdenblatten 6 units @2.02 Lost -6

Die Piste in Schladming ist in einem guten Zustand – Schlechte Nachrichten aus dem ÖSV Lager – Nicole „Nici“ Schmidhofer die das Rennen mit Startnummer 1 eröffnet ist über Nacht krank geworden. ÖSV Damencheftrainer Herbert Mandl: Nici hat eine Bauchgrippe erwischt. Sie hat die ganze Nacht gebrochen und kaum ein Auge zugetan. Sie wird wohl nicht so bei Kräften sein wie wir es uns erhofft haben.” Bei der Besichtigung, die zur Stunde stattfindet ist Schmidhofer aber dabei.

The quote says that Schimdhofer doesn't feel well, she's been ill this night.
More reasons are given from her low starting bib, #1, so witouth knowing the course and probably with powder still on it.
Her only relevant previous result, 2nd place in Cortina, was made in a strange race due to weather conditions.
Aufdenblatten has a good starting bib , #15, and she's experienced and she can easily finish in top 15.

h2h LindellVikarby - Fanchini - pick Fanchini 2 units @2.75 Void 0
Little controversy in this one as the bookie says Elena Fanchini, who's not racing, there's her sister Nadia instead.
Let's see because as the previous pick Lindell-Vikarby has a low starting bib, #2, while the racing Fanchini is #31.

h2h Fenninger - Rebensburg - pick Fenninger 3 units @1.90 Lost -3
Rebensburg victory on this slope, last year, was made in strange conditions.
I actually think the gap between these two is a bit wider in favour of Fenninger.

Very bad day for me, and for the race.
The continuos start delays and so different conditions, the fact that the race started hours after the patrol and study of the course... all this and other reasons makes pre-race analysis pointless.
Anyway Mancuso did something great, she confirmed her beast mode in these events.
Fenninger made a stupid mistake, this watching from TV, missing a gate; actually many other racers missed that gate.
Fenninger was also a bit nervy, and so was Hoefl-Riesch, taking start just after Vonn's terrible crush.

Maze is just the best, this season she's going to win anything, great attitude.
Gut... I've always doubts about her, today she was great maybe I should consider her like Mancuso.
Goggia, 4th place, is a great talent on which keep an eye.