Super-combi today: one run of dowhill starting at 12 (CET), and one run of Slalom at 18.15 so night event. Both runs on the original slopes. Key fact, slalom's course setter is french team, and so Pinturault's coach.
Starting list, remembering that slalom's run will have an invers order of the top 30 from downhill's run.
1 150495 VRABLIK Martin 1982 CZE Elan
2 194190 ROGER Brice 1990 FRA Rossignol
3 6530319 COCHRAN-SIEGLE Ryan 1992 USA Rossignol
4 30149 SIMARI BIRKNER Cristian Javier 1980 ARG Atomic
5 510997 BERTHOD Marc 1983 SUI Salomon
6 660021 DANILOCHKIN Yuri 1991 BLR
7 150398 BANK Ondrej 1980 CZE Elan
8 510890 ZURBRIGGEN Silvan 1981 SUI Rossignol
9 180570 ROMAR Andreas 1989 FIN Atomic
10 50625 RAICH Benjamin 1978 AUT Atomic
11 53902 MAYER Matthias 1990 AUT Head
12 294277 KLOTZ Siegmar 1987 ITA Nordica
13 511352 VILETTA Sandro 1986 SUI Salomon
14 192746 THEAUX Adrien 1984 FRA Salomon
15 291459 PARIS Dominik 1989 ITA Nordica
16 51215 BAUMANN Romed 1986 AUT Blizzard
17 192504 MERMILLOD BLONDIN Thomas 1984 FRA Salomon
18 511313 JANKA Carlo 1986 SUI Atomic
19 293006 INNERHOFER Christof 1984 ITA Rossignol
20 421328 SVINDAL Aksel Lund 1982 NOR Head
21 194364 PINTURAULT Alexis 1991 FRA Salomon
22 380260 KOSTELIC Ivica 1979 CRO Fischer
23 561217 KOSI Klemen 1991 SLO Atomic
24 92534 CHONGAROV Nikola 1989 BUL Volkl
25 90131 GEORGIEV Georgi 1987 BUL Atomic
26 430429 BYDLINSKI Maciej 1988 POL Atomic
27 534562 LIGETY Ted 1984 USA Head
28 480736 KHOROSHILOV Alexander 1984 RUS Fischer
29 700830 ZAMPA Adam 1990 SVK Salomon
30 293550 MARSAGLIA Matteo 1985 ITA Rossignol
31 501439 HEDIN Douglas 1990 SWE Head
32 491129 TERRA Ferran 1987 SPA Rossignol
33 400281 VAN HEEK Marvin 1991 NED Salomon
34 20267 ESTEVE Kevin 1989 AND
35 530165 BRANDENBURG Will 1987 USA Fischer
36 400016 WANDERS Arjan 1978 NED
37 400237 MEINERS Maarten 1992 NED
38 531452 BIESEMEYER Thomas 1989 USA Rossignol
39 20324 OLIVERAS Marc 1991 AND
40 670052 KHUBER Martin 1992 KAZ
41 561216 KLINE Bostjan 1991 SLO Stoeckli
42 170131 FAARUP Christoffer 1992 DAN
43 670037 ZAKURDAEV Igor 1987 KAZ
44 380341 ULLRICH Max 1994 CRO
45 491151 DE LA CUESTA Paul 1988 SPA Salomon
46 430472 KLUSAK Michal 1990 POL Head
47 550022 RODE Roberts 1987 LAT
48 710320 LAIKERT Igor 1991 BIH
49 670029 PIMENOV Taras 1984 KAZ
50 670058 KOSHKIN Dmitriy 1986 KAZ
51 700868 FALAT Matej 1993 SVK
52 690086 FESHCHUK Rostyslav 1990 UKR
53 30283 FREEMAN CRESPO Ignacio 1992 ARG
I've pointed out the hot names, being both runs on the original slopes the chances to win are equally distributed among downhiller and slalomist, obviously those with more overall skills are even hotter, and in this case the field is limited to Raich, Ligety, Pinturault and Kostelic.
Kostelic is favourite to win, he's ran the real downhill beside the training, but close following him there's Pinturault and Ligety.
The frenchmen might have the advantage of his coach setting the slalom's course, and also the fact that he's probably the best slalomist.
But Ted Ligety deserves equal attentions. The american seems to enjoy these slopes, his abilities and Giant-Slalom skills, his own characteristic style, the position of the external leg in large range turns, seems key elements to ski -or shred, like Ted would say- on this slopes.
In both previous combined in this season, Wengen, and Kitz, Ligety didn't reach the finish line, of the downhill in Kitz, of the slalom run in Wengen when making a good run, but bad luck he lost a ski when he was three/four gates away fron the finish line.
The importance of this event, together with the high confidence coming from an already won medal, can cheer him and keep him away from cheap mistakes. It's really hard to think him not reaching the podium also in a far-from-perfect-scenario.
Winner: Ligety 1 unit @7 Won +6
h2h Baumann - Mermillod-Blondin - pick Mermillod-Blondin 3 units @2 Lost -3
The frenchmen was third in the classic combined of Kitzbuehel (combined with 2 slalom runs).
Anyway he is a decent slalomist sure better than Baumann while the gap between these two can be little after the downhill, as Baumann isn't in great form and wasn't even choosed for the real downhill race.
Svindal's current price (around 12) looks good for a trade, expecting him to have 2, maybe 3 seconds advantage after the downhill run.
Completely wrong the pick against Baumann, who's apparently worked around this event.
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