Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Schladming 2013 - Super-G Men

Men's Slopes

Day 2 at the world championships, and men in action.
This slope is not the same of ladies's one, for speed events.
Again, though, it's an easy one, without very hard section nor jumps... being wide many course can be set and course setting might be the key given it'll be done by Norvegian and Svindal's coach.

Last year's race isn't relevant. Late season race, with "rotten" snow, that early displayed mark. Low starting bibs were advantaged: 1st Innerhofer #8, 2nd Pinturault #5, 3rd Hirscher #2 (in one of his rare SG race), 4th Marsaglia #7.

Svindal is the big favoured and men to beat. He is SG Cup leader, in four SGs this season won three and made a second place.
Super-G is a strange discipline because it's a speed event but there are no time trial, there's a race inspection but you can't try gates at a race-like speed, so it's much about improvisation, it can be said you must know how to ski to compete in a Super-G. And actually Svindal know how to ski.

Behind Svindal there's Innerhofer. Beside being defending World Champion, and last year winner on this slope I don't give him so many chanches. He is in great shape but he may not like the snow conditions.

3rd favourite in Norway's no.2 Jansrud. Again he could be advantaged by the course setting (by his coach), but again he's been below the expectations so far in this season. He's often near the podium but no major results.

I see Reichelt as possible outsider. His raising form, the ability of austrian team in setting the skis (there will be different kind of snow on the course, I think only eskimos have a word to describe it all). He's one who can possibly put together all the technical elements needed in this race.

From the first group:
Klotz, is in good form but it's not a top racer.
Theaux, I like him, his aggressivity, but I don't trust him on this snow, sensibility more than angles will be required today.
Heel, about him I'd say the same of Theaux, though I think he's more overall skilled, I won't trust him but he's able of anything.
Mayer, being austrian, can be a possible outsider. And so could be for Streitberger and Baumann who, though, had a bad season... Championships focus for them? Who knows.
On this kind of snow canadians must be kept in high considerations.
Although their skills among turns aren't good enough there's their key racer Guay who's one of those able to give something more in important events.
And then there's Kostelic, who comes from three podiums in a row in three different disciplines: Slalom and Super-Combined in Kitz, and the city event in Moscow.
The croatian looks to be the one in the best shape, and although Super-G isn't his favourite discipline a good condition and confidence can drive to a good result, thing that actually happened in Garmish when Kostelic who the bronze medal in Super-G following that terrific january.

This said, here the picks:
Mayer to podium 1 unit @4 Lost -1
Reichelt to podium 2 units @3.5 Lost -1
Kostelic to podium 1 unit @11 Lost -1

Winner: Reichelt 1 unit @11 Lost -1

h2h Streitberger - Theaux - pick Streitberger 3 units @2.02 Lost -3
I don't really trust Streitberger, but I think Theaux won't like this snow  conditions.

-7
It's very disappointing to see a whole season work and "return of investmenst" to disappear in just two days.

Anyway there's to be happy for the analysis that were corrects.
Super-G podium on the Planai:
1) Ligety (USA), 2) De Tessieres (Fra), 3) Svindal (Nor)
The course was set like a real Super-Giant, so no surprise to see on the podium two Giant-Slalom specialist like Ligety and frenchmen De Tessieres. These two outsiders kicked my two "men" Reichelt and Mayer off the podium.

No excuses, both Ligety and De Tessieres made a great run and deserved their placements. Svindal recorded many "green" intermediate times but in the final section a little loss of balance and control resulted in a wider line and a loss of speed causing the 3rd placement.
De Tessieres displays the widest smile as he shouldn't neither race; GdT was the reserve of the french team, and only Clarey injury let him be in. As he said to Eurosport:
"Five days ago, I was down in the dumps at home. Unfortunately, Johan got injured. It's an odd feeling. But I really meant to do well, I was eager"  
No large smiles in two teams. Austria and Italy arrived with a great condition and great expectations.
Both came back withouth medals.
Austria still with no medals after the two Super-Gs. As Infostrada sport tweeted:
  Team Austria has had at least one medallist in the men's Super G race in 7 of the last 8 world championships. 

While Italy achieve the worst result of this season in Super-G: Innerhofer, 7th, couldn't defend Garmisch's golden medal; Marsaglia second in Super-G Cup Standing was 20th; and Heel was 22th


Video of the three best runs: Ligety, De Tessieres (at 1:47 min), Svindal (at 3:16 min, pay attention at 4:49)

Full standing (from FIS Official Site):
RankBibFIS CodeNameYearNationTotal TimeFIS Points
 1 10 534562LIGETY Ted 1984 USA  1:23.96 0.00
 2 4 191746DE TESSIERES Gauthier 1981 FRA  1:24.16 2.50
 3 22 421328SVINDAL Aksel Lund 1982 NOR  1:24.18 2.75
 4 19 50742REICHELT Hannes 1980 AUT  1:24.51 6.88
 5 16 53902MAYER Matthias 1990 AUT  1:24.91 11.88
 6 1 194364PINTURAULT Alexis 1991 FRA  1:24.99 12.88
 7 20 293006INNERHOFER Christof 1984 ITA  1:25.05 13.63
 8 13 51215BAUMANN Romed 1986 AUT  1:25.17 15.13
 9 21 192746THEAUX Adrien 1984 FRA  1:25.21 15.63
 10 12 50858STREITBERGER Georg 1981 AUT  1:25.30 16.76
 11 17 293550MARSAGLIA Matteo 1985 ITA  1:25.35 17.38
 12 14 102271HUDEC Jan 1981 CAN  1:25.52 19.51
 13 6 531452BIESEMEYER Thomas 1989 USA  1:25.56 20.01
 14 9 292455FILL Peter 1982 ITA  1:25.60 20.51
 15 25 6530319COCHRAN-SIEGLE Ryan 1992 USA  1:25.63 20.88
 16 28 102899OSBORNE-PARADIS Manuel 1984 CAN  1:25.74 22.26
 17 8 180570ROMAR Andreas 1989 FIN  1:25.75 22.39
 18 27 511139KUENG Patrick 1984 SUI  1:25.88 24.01
 19 32 103271THOMSEN Benjamin 1987 CAN  1:25.93 24.64
 20 11 292514HEEL Werner 1982 ITA  1:26.00 25.51
 21 7 192504MERMILLOD BLONDIN Thomas 1984 FRA  1:26.11 26.89
 22 23 294277KLOTZ Siegmar 1987 ITA  1:26.27 28.89
 23 15 102263GUAY Erik 1981 CAN  1:26.30 29.26
 24 36 201811STECHERT Tobias 1985 GER  1:26.64 33.52
 25 26 511313JANKA Carlo 1986 SUI  1:26.73 34.64
 26 29 510727DEFAGO Didier 1977 SUI  1:26.81 35.64
 27 35 561217KOSI Klemen 1991 SLO  1:26.83 35.89
 28 24 380260KOSTELIC Ivica 1979 CRO  1:26.89 36.64
 29 46 180534SANDELL Marcus 1987 FIN  1:27.01 38.14
 30 31 561216KLINE Bostjan 1991 SLO  1:27.02 38.27
 31 33 560447SPORN Andrej 1981 SLO  1:27.04 38.52
 32 39 501324OLSSON Matts 1988 SWE  1:27.26 41.27
 33 3 201606KEPPLER Stephan 1983 GER  1:27.55 44.90
 34 38 501439HEDIN Douglas 1990 SWE  1:27.60 45.52
 35 30 561067PERKO Rok 1985 SLO  1:27.78 47.77
 36 64 700830ZAMPA Adam 1990 SVK  1:27.94 49.77
 37 37 491151DE LA CUESTA Paul 1988 SPA  1:28.48 56.53
 38 49 92534CHONGAROV Nikola 1989 BUL  1:28.61 58.15
 39 45 410266GRIFFIN Benjamin 1986 NZL  1:28.72 59.53
 40 44 430429BYDLINSKI Maciej 1988 POL  1:28.93 62.15
 41 55 150495VRABLIK Martin 1982 CZE  1:29.30 66.78
 42 53 410372PREBBLE Nick 1993 NZL  1:29.35 67.41
 43 77 30246BIRKNER KETELHOHN Jorge F. 1990 ARG  1:29.99 75.41
 44 58 380341ULLRICH Max 1994 CRO  1:30.02 75.79
 45 43 20267ESTEVE Kevin 1989 AND  1:30.20 78.04
 46 56 92570GEORGIEV Svetoslav 1991 BUL  1:30.23 78.41
 47 52 670052KHUBER Martin 1992 KAZ  1:30.32 79.54
 48 70 710320LAIKERT Igor 1991 BIH  1:30.66 83.79
 49 67 430472KLUSAK Michal 1990 POL  1:30.82 85.79
 50 74 700868FALAT Matej 1993 SVK  1:30.85 86.17
 51 51 380318BRIGOVIC Sebastian 1992 CRO  1:31.00 88.04
 52 57 90131GEORGIEV Georgi 1987 BUL  1:31.06 88.79
 53 71 660021DANILOCHKIN Yuri 1991 BLR  1:31.08 89.04
 54 73 670037ZAKURDAEV Igor 1987 KAZ  1:31.32 92.04
 55 75 40506ROBERTSON Sam 1993 AUS  1:31.77 97.67
 56 50 170131FAARUP Christoffer 1992 DAN  1:31.90 99.30
 57 62 30149SIMARI BIRKNER Cristian Javier 1980 ARG  1:32.02 100.80
 58 76 670029PIMENOV Taras 1984 KAZ  1:32.05 101.17
 59 61 400235WINKELHORST Steffan 1992 NED  1:32.14 102.30
 60 81 690086FESHCHUK Rostyslav 1990 UKR  1:32.76 110.05
 61 66 40503COULL Jackson 1993 AUS  1:33.08 114.05
 62 68 380361RODES Istok 1996 CRO  1:33.23 115.93
 63 63 410334PREBBLE Jamie 1991 NZL  1:33.76 122.56
 64 72 550022RODE Roberts 1987 LAT  1:34.35 129.94
 65 80 690694KOVBASNYUK Ivan 1993 UKR  1:35.98 150.32
 66 78 110263SUMPS Stephan 1988 CHI  1:38.42 180.84
Disqualified 1st run
 82 240139KEKESI Marton 1995 HUN 
 69 150743BERNDT Ondrej 1988 CZE 
 2 510890ZURBRIGGEN Silvan 1981 SUI 
Did not finish 1st run
 79 30283FREEMAN CRESPO Ignacio 1992 ARG 
 65 670058KOSHKIN Dmitriy 1986 KAZ 
 60 20324OLIVERAS Marc 1991 AND 
 59 910003LINDNER Georg 1983 MDA 
 54 410364FEASEY Willis 1992 NZL 
 48 400237MEINERS Maarten 1992 NED 
 47 491129TERRA Ferran 1987 SPA 
 42 400281VAN HEEK Marvin 1991 NED 
 41 400016WANDERS Arjan 1978 NED 
 40 481054MURAVYEV Ivan 1989 RUS 
 34 481705GLEBOV Alexander 1983 RUS 
 18 421483JANSRUD Kjetil 1985 NOR 
 5 530939WEIBRECHT Andrew 1986 USA 







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